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Thursday, November 21
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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 29
Sep 5, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
CC

Orlando City
3 - 2
Columbus Crew

Dike (26'), van der Water (29'), Urso (69')
Urso (42'), DeZart (51')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Carlos (52' og.), Berry (54')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 57.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 19.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawColumbus Crew
57.44%22.73%19.83%
Both teams to score 52.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17%46.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.91%69.09%
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.95%16.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.6%45.4%
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.28%37.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.51%74.49%
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 57.43%
    Columbus Crew 19.83%
    Draw 22.73%
Orlando CityDrawColumbus Crew
1-0 @ 11.07%
2-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 9.88%
3-0 @ 6.18%
3-1 @ 6.03%
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-0 @ 2.83%
4-1 @ 2.76%
4-2 @ 1.34%
5-0 @ 1.03%
5-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 57.43%
1-1 @ 10.79%
0-0 @ 6.05%
2-2 @ 4.82%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.73%
0-1 @ 5.9%
1-2 @ 5.26%
0-2 @ 2.88%
1-3 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 19.83%

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