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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 29
Aug 28, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Saputo Stadium
TF

Montreal
3 - 1
Toronto

Piette (23'), Torres (68'), Quioto (75')
Struna (9'), Piette (34'), Camacho (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Achara (58')
Lawrence (60'), Gonzalez (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 56.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 20.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawToronto
56.83%22.81%20.35%
Both teams to score 52.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.51%46.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.23%68.76%
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.87%16.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.44%45.56%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.02%36.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.23%73.76%
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 56.83%
    Toronto 20.35%
    Draw 22.81%
CF MontrealDrawToronto
1-0 @ 10.88%
2-0 @ 9.93%
2-1 @ 9.88%
3-0 @ 6.04%
3-1 @ 6.01%
3-2 @ 2.99%
4-0 @ 2.75%
4-1 @ 2.74%
4-2 @ 1.36%
5-0 @ 1.01%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 56.83%
1-1 @ 10.82%
0-0 @ 5.96%
2-2 @ 4.91%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.81%
0-1 @ 5.93%
1-2 @ 5.39%
0-2 @ 2.95%
1-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 20.35%

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