Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 56.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
