Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Columbus Crew in this match.