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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 41
Oct 21, 2021 at 1am UK
Pizza Hut Park
LA

Dallas
2 - 3
Los Angeles

Hollingshead (10'), Jara (45')
Hedges (59'), Hollingshead (74')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Arango (33' pen., 75', 79')
Cifuentes (67'), Musovski (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest Dallas win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
DallasDrawLos Angeles FC
36.35%24.29%39.36%
Both teams to score 60.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.64%42.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.23%64.77%
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.89%23.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.03%56.97%
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.42%21.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.32%54.68%
Score Analysis
    Dallas 36.35%
    Los Angeles FC 39.36%
    Draw 24.29%
DallasDrawLos Angeles FC
2-1 @ 8.21%
1-0 @ 7.31%
2-0 @ 5.35%
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 3.07%
3-0 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 1.13%
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 36.35%
1-1 @ 11.2%
2-2 @ 6.29%
0-0 @ 4.99%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.29%
1-2 @ 8.59%
0-1 @ 7.65%
0-2 @ 5.86%
1-3 @ 4.39%
2-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 3%
1-4 @ 1.68%
2-4 @ 1.23%
0-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 39.36%

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