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Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
AF

Dallas
2 - 1
Austin

Musa (4'), Ferreira (56')
Illarramendi (8'), Fraser (43'), Ntsabeleng (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Driussi (84' pen.)
Pereira (15')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 3-1 Dallas
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 0-0 Austin
Sunday, May 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 1-1 Austin FC

Dallas have been poor this year but both seven of their eight points have come on home soil. The hosts also have an ongoing unbeaten run at home against the visitors, who have struggled on the road as well. We expect a draw here as the home side are not in a great moment. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 21.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
DallasDrawAustin FC
55.17% (-0.302 -0.3) 23.55% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 21.28% (0.239 0.24)
Both teams to score 51.93% (0.15 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (0.029000000000003 0.03)48.4% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (0.026 0.03)70.54% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.59% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)17.4% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.16% (-0.173 -0.17)47.83% (0.17 0.17)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.87% (0.256 0.26)37.12% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.09% (0.254 0.25)73.91% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 55.16%
    Austin FC 21.28%
    Draw 23.54%
DallasDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.88% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.76% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.52% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 55.16%
1-1 @ 11.19% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.54%
0-1 @ 6.4% (0.036 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 21.28%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Toronto 3-1 Dallas
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 2-0 Houston
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 2-1 Dallas
Sunday, April 21 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 0-0 Seattle
Sunday, April 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 0-0 Dallas
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-1 Dallas
Sunday, March 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 0-0 Austin
Sunday, May 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-0 LA Galaxy
Saturday, April 27 at 6.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 0-1 Austin
Sunday, April 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 1-0 Austin
Sunday, April 14 at 9.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 4-3 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-1 Dallas
Sunday, March 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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