SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 18.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Dallas |
58.71% ( -0.03) | 23% ( 0.02) | 18.29% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.84% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.91% ( -0.06) | 50.09% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.94% ( -0.05) | 72.06% ( 0.06) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.25% ( -0.03) | 16.75% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.32% ( -0.05) | 46.68% ( 0.06) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.67% ( -0.02) | 41.33% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.15% ( -0.02) | 77.85% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Dallas |
| 1-0 @ 12.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.58% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.94% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 58.7% | 1-1 @ 10.92% 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 22.99% | 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 18.29% |
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