SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Dallas |
61.72% ( 0.14) | 21.95% ( -0.06) | 16.33% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.27% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.13% ( 0.14) | 48.87% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.03% ( 0.13) | 70.96% ( -0.13) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.68% ( 0.09) | 15.32% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.94% ( 0.17) | 44.05% ( -0.17) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57% ( -0.01) | 43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.71% ( -0.01) | 79.29% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Dallas |
| 1-0 @ 12.35% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 61.71% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0)Other @ 0.8% Total : 21.94% | 0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 1.63% Total : 16.33% |
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