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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 35
Sep 30, 2021 at 12.30am UK
RFK Stadium
MU

DC United
3 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Kamara (23' pen.), Gressel (45'), Moreno (85')
Birnbaum (59'), Arriola (66')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dibassy (40')
Hayes (18'), Trapp (43'), Kallman (79'), Gasper (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 22.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.

Result
DC UnitedDrawMinnesota United
54.45%23.4%22.15%
Both teams to score 53.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.21%46.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.96%69.05%
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.93%17.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.74%47.26%
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.62%35.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.86%72.14%
Score Analysis
    DC United 54.45%
    Minnesota United 22.15%
    Draw 23.39%
DC UnitedDrawMinnesota United
1-0 @ 10.67%
2-1 @ 9.81%
2-0 @ 9.44%
3-1 @ 5.78%
3-0 @ 5.56%
3-2 @ 3%
4-1 @ 2.55%
4-0 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 1.33%
5-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 54.45%
1-1 @ 11.09%
0-0 @ 6.04%
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.39%
0-1 @ 6.28%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-2 @ 3.26%
1-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 22.15%

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