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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 31
Sep 16, 2021 at 12.30am UK
RFK Stadium
CF

DC United
3 - 0
Chicago Fire

Kamara (9' pen., 35' pen., 44')
Pines (12'), Gressel (53')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Teran Diaz (7'), Herbers (11')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.

Result
DC UnitedDrawChicago Fire
60.79%21.67%17.54%
Both teams to score 51.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.32%45.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32%68%
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.44%14.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.39%42.61%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.4%39.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.72%76.28%
Score Analysis
    DC United 60.78%
    Chicago Fire 17.54%
    Draw 21.67%
DC UnitedDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 11.1%
2-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 9.92%
3-0 @ 6.88%
3-1 @ 6.37%
4-0 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 2.95%
4-2 @ 1.42%
5-0 @ 1.28%
5-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 60.78%
1-1 @ 10.29%
0-0 @ 5.76%
2-2 @ 4.59%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.67%
0-1 @ 5.34%
1-2 @ 4.77%
0-2 @ 2.47%
1-3 @ 1.47%
2-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 17.54%

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