Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.