Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 53.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
