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DU
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 28
Aug 29, 2021 at 1am UK
RFK Stadium
PU

DC United
3 - 1
Philadelphia

Kamara (36' pen.), Reyna (49'), Abila (90+5')
Najar (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Birnbaum (22' og.)
Elliott (59')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.

Result
DC UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
44.85%25.62%29.53%
Both teams to score 53.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.68%50.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74%72.26%
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.61%22.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.1%55.9%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.8%31.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.46%67.54%
Score Analysis
    DC United 44.85%
    Philadelphia Union 29.53%
    Draw 25.61%
DC UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 9.11%
2-0 @ 7.82%
3-1 @ 4.55%
3-0 @ 3.9%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.7%
4-0 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 44.85%
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 6.99%
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 8.14%
1-2 @ 7.09%
0-2 @ 4.74%
1-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 29.53%

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