Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.