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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 17
Jul 22, 2021 at 1am UK
Toyota Park
DU

Chicago Fire
2 - 2
DC United

Gimenez (32'), Najar (61' og.)
Gimenez (62'), Medran (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Paredes (82'), Kamara (87' pen.)
Najar (55'), Skundrich (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for DC United had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Chicago FireDrawDC United
39.15%25.84%35%
Both teams to score 54.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.39%49.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.37%71.63%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.09%24.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.47%59.53%
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.75%27.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32%62.68%
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 39.15%
    DC United 35%
    Draw 25.84%
Chicago FireDrawDC United
1-0 @ 9.44%
2-1 @ 8.53%
2-0 @ 6.56%
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-0 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 39.15%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 6.79%
2-2 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 8.82%
1-2 @ 7.97%
0-2 @ 5.74%
1-3 @ 3.46%
0-3 @ 2.49%
2-3 @ 2.4%
1-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3%
Total : 35%

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