Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
