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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 17
Jul 18, 2021 at 12.30am UK
PPL Park
DU

Philadelphia
2 - 1
DC United

Santos (11'), Przybylko (83')
Andres Martinez (22')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rodrigo Asad (51' pen.)
Rodrigo Asad (27'), Alfaro (45+1'), Reyna (45+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for DC United had a probability of 21.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawDC United
53.13%25.74%21.13%
Both teams to score 45.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.03%56.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.13%77.87%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49%21.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.43%54.57%
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.83%42.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.42%78.58%
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 53.11%
    DC United 21.13%
    Draw 25.74%
Philadelphia UnionDrawDC United
1-0 @ 13.93%
2-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 9.25%
3-0 @ 5.48%
3-1 @ 4.74%
4-0 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 2.05%
4-1 @ 1.82%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 53.11%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 9.07%
2-2 @ 3.99%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 7.83%
1-2 @ 5.2%
0-2 @ 3.38%
1-3 @ 1.5%
2-3 @ 1.15%
0-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 21.13%

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