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DU
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 8
May 17, 2021 at 1am UK
Audi Field
OC

DC United
0 - 1
Orlando City


Hines-Ike (42'), Brillant (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pereyra (7')
Moutinho (61'), Pereyra (69'), Mueller (90+3'), Nani (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for DC United had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Orlando City in this match.

Result
DC UnitedDrawOrlando City
31.28%26.2%42.52%
Both teams to score 52.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.01%51.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.27%73.73%
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.18%30.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.9%67.1%
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76%24.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.41%58.6%
Score Analysis
    DC United 31.28%
    Orlando City 42.51%
    Draw 26.2%
DC UnitedDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 8.79%
2-1 @ 7.33%
2-0 @ 5.18%
3-1 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.04%
3-0 @ 2.03%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 31.28%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.47%
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 10.58%
1-2 @ 8.83%
0-2 @ 7.5%
1-3 @ 4.17%
0-3 @ 3.54%
2-3 @ 2.46%
1-4 @ 1.48%
0-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 42.51%

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