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Major League Soccer
Apr 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
N

Inter Miami
3 - 1
Nashville

Messi (11', 81' pen.), Busquets (39')
Ruiz (27'), Weigandt (40')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Negri (2' og.)
MacNaughton (50')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kansas 2-3 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 3-1 Nashville SC

Inter Miami showed resilience and class last weekend when they edged out Sporting Kansas and will head into the weekend with renewed confidence. We predict that Martino's men will pick up where they left off last time out and see off the floundering visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Inter Miami in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Inter Miami.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawNashville SC
46.52% (-2.03 -2.03) 24.69% (0.377 0.38) 28.78% (1.648 1.65)
Both teams to score 55.93% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.22% (-0.577 -0.58)46.78% (0.572 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.96% (-0.544 -0.54)69.04% (0.538 0.54)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.82% (-1.075 -1.08)20.18% (1.07 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.52% (-1.747 -1.75)52.48% (1.742 1.74)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.08% (0.92100000000001 0.92)29.92% (-0.926 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.97% (1.099 1.1)66.02% (-1.103 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 46.52%
    Nashville SC 28.78%
    Draw 24.69%
Inter MiamiDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 9.66% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-0 @ 7.73% (-0.339 -0.34)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.26 -0.26)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.328 -0.33)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.175 -0.18)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 46.52%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 6.04% (0.144 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.046 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.29% (0.353 0.35)
1-2 @ 7.04% (0.288 0.29)
0-2 @ 4.4% (0.318 0.32)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.184 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.075 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.17 0.17)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 28.78%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Kansas 2-3 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Monterrey 3-1 Inter Miami
Thursday, April 11 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-2 Colorado
Sunday, April 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-2 Monterrey
Thursday, April 4 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 NY City
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-0 Inter Miami
Saturday, March 23 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, March 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 5-0 Nashville
Sunday, March 24 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Nashville
Thursday, March 14 at 12.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Nashville 2-2 LA Galaxy
Sunday, March 10 at 7pm in Major League Soccer


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