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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | Charlotte FC |
46.33% ( 0.73) | 25.12% ( -0.14) | 28.56% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 54.38% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.25% ( 0.26) | 48.75% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.15% ( 0.24) | 70.86% ( -0.24) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.93% ( 0.43) | 21.07% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.12% ( 0.67) | 53.88% ( -0.67) |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.89% ( -0.3) | 31.11% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.57% ( -0.35) | 67.43% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | Charlotte FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.56% Total : 46.32% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.92% Total : 28.56% |
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