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Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
PU

Nashville
1 - 2
Philadelphia

Surridge (42')
Godoy (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Carranza (62'), Gazdag (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 2-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, March 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 0-2 Philadelphia Union

The Boys in Gold look disorganised defensively, and they are coming up against a Union side that are finding their form in the attacking third, which we believe will spell trouble for the home side this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawPhiladelphia Union
43.5% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 25.24%31.25% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 55.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)47.96% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.86% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)70.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98% (0.0020000000000095 0)22.02% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.66% (0.0020000000000024 0)55.34%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)28.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)64.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 43.5%
    Philadelphia Union 31.26%
    Draw 25.23%
Nashville SCDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.6% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.04%
2-0 @ 7.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.84%
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.39%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 43.5%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.89%
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 31.26%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nashville 2-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, March 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 5-0 Nashville
Sunday, March 24 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Nashville
Thursday, March 14 at 12.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Nashville 2-2 LA Galaxy
Sunday, March 10 at 7pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-2 Inter Miami
Friday, March 8 at 2am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-0 Minnesota Utd
Saturday, March 30 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-3 Philadelphia
Sunday, March 24 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Pachuca 6-0 Philadelphia
Wednesday, March 13 at 12.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Pachuca
Wednesday, March 6 at 12am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Kansas 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


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