SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 31 | 51 |
| 2 | CF Montreal | 26 | 8 | 46 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 6 | 41 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 0 | 33 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 26 | 0 | 32 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | -11 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 19.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
58.57% ( 0.03) | 21.99% ( -0.01) | 19.44% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.05% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.83% ( -0.01) | 44.16% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.45% ( -0.01) | 66.54% ( 0.01) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.24% ( 0.01) | 14.76% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57% ( 0.01) | 43% ( -0.02) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.41% ( -0.03) | 36.59% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.62% ( -0.03) | 73.38% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.94% 2-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.34% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.03% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 58.57% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0)2-2 @ 5% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.98% | 0-1 @ 5.43% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.72% Total : 19.44% |
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