SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Dallas | 29 | 7 | 43 |
| 4 | Nashville SC | 28 | 5 | 39 |
| 5 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | -1 | 39 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 0 | 33 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | -6 | 32 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | -12 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
56.5% ( 0.01) | 23% ( 0.01) | 20.5% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.51% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.94% ( -0.05) | 47.06% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.7% ( -0.04) | 69.3% ( 0.05) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.55% ( -0.01) | 16.45% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.86% ( -0.02) | 46.14% ( 0.02) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.85% ( -0.04) | 37.15% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.06% ( -0.04) | 73.94% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.99% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 56.5% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0)0-2 @ 3% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 1.66% Total : 20.5% |
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