SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 5 | 36 |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 26 | -2 | 34 |
| 6 | Toronto | 28 | -5 | 33 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 0 | 36 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 25 | 2 | 34 |
| 5 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | -10 | 34 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 53.29%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 23.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
53.29% ( -0.04) | 22.89% ( -0.02) | 23.82% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.38% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.24% ( 0.14) | 42.76% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.84% ( 0.14) | 65.16% ( -0.14) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.96% ( 0.04) | 16.04% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.61% ( 0.07) | 45.39% ( -0.07) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.34% ( 0.13) | 31.66% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.92% ( 0.14) | 68.08% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 3.44% Total : 53.29% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.89% | 1-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 23.82% |
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