SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Portland Timbers | 29 | 1 | 39 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 3 | 38 |
| 5 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | -10 | 34 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | -11 | 29 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | -14 | 29 |
| 10 | DC United | 28 | -28 | 25 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 69.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 13.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
69.27% ( 0.41) | 17.55% ( -0.18) | 13.18% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 55.28% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.4% ( 0.33) | 35.6% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.34% ( 0.37) | 57.66% ( -0.36) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.72% ( 0.18) | 9.28% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.66% ( 0.43) | 31.34% ( -0.43) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.93% ( -0.11) | 39.07% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.21% ( -0.11) | 75.79% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-0 @ 10.24% 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.58% Total : 69.27% | 1-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.55% | 1-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.75% Total : 13.18% |
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