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Major League Soccer
Sep 4, 2023 at 3am UK
Banc of California Stadium
IM

Los Angeles
1 - 3
Inter Miami

Hollingshead (90')
Bogusz (2'), Palacios (76'), Murillo (79'), Bouanga (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Farias (14'), Alba (51'), Campana (83')
Yedlin (63'), Farias (72'), Gomez (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 0-0 Nashville
Thursday, August 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 2-3 Inter Miami

On paper, Los Angeles may be superior to Inter Miami in many statistical categories, but the Herons have one element that no other MLS club can boast, Lionel Messi. His presence has almost single-handedly turned the Miami fortunes around this season, while he has brought out the best in so many players on this team since arriving from Paris Saint-Germain, and we expect to see Messi and his former Barcelona teammates (Busquets and Alba) make all the difference for them on Sunday.

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 68.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 13.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawInter Miami
68.66% (-0.184 -0.18) 17.35% (0.084 0.08) 13.98% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
Both teams to score 58.51% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.38% (-0.211 -0.21)32.62% (0.20800000000001 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.72% (-0.248 -0.25)54.28% (0.244 0.24)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.36% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)8.64% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.2% (-0.233 -0.23)29.8% (0.229 0.23)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.04% (-0.012 -0.01)35.96% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.26% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)72.73% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 68.66%
    Inter Miami 13.98%
    Draw 17.35%
Los Angeles FCDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.32% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.61% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 7.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.76% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.65% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.44% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.33% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.28% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.95% (-0.016 -0.02)
6-0 @ 0.93% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 68.66%
1-1 @ 7.78% (0.05 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.11% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 17.35%
1-2 @ 3.98% (0.025 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.18% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.002 0)
0-2 @ 1.63% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.36% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 13.98%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 4-0 Colorado
Thursday, August 24 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, July 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 St Louis City
Thursday, July 13 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, July 9 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-1 Los Angeles
Wednesday, July 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 0-0 Nashville
Thursday, August 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-3 Inter Miami (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, August 24 at 12am in US Open Cup
Last Game: St Louis City 3-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 16 at 1.59am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-2 Columbus Crew
Wednesday, July 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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