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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | Columbus Crew |
31.75% ( 0.59) | 24.78% ( 0.09) | 43.47% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 57.29% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.26% ( -0.15) | 45.74% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.94% ( -0.14) | 68.05% ( 0.14) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.6% ( 0.31) | 27.39% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.13% ( 0.4) | 62.86% ( -0.4) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% ( -0.37) | 21.09% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.08% ( -0.58) | 53.92% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.95% Total : 31.75% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.63% Total : 43.47% |
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