SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 70.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 12.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | St Louis City |
70.66% ( -0.02) | 17.09% ( 0) | 12.24% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.19% ( 0.02) | 35.81% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.11% ( 0.02) | 57.89% ( -0.02) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.98% | 9.02% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.29% | 30.71% ( -0) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.35% ( 0.04) | 40.64% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.76% ( 0.04) | 77.23% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.66% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.12% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.61% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.46% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.22% 4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0)5-2 @ 1% ( 0)6-0 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 3.61% Total : 70.66% | 1-1 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.66% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.09% | 1-2 @ 3.57% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.3% 0-2 @ 1.49% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 1.52% Total : 12.24% |
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