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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Inter Miami |
47.73% ( 2.06) | 24.24% ( -0.78) | 28.03% ( -1.28) |
| Both teams to score 56.92% ( 1.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.76% ( 2.67) | 45.24% ( -2.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.42% ( 2.51) | 67.58% ( -2.5) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.94% ( 1.95) | 19.06% ( -1.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.35% ( 3.14) | 50.65% ( -3.13) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.32% ( 0.45) | 29.68% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.27% ( 0.54) | 65.73% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.5)2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.41)3-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.29)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.28)4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.29)4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.22)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.19)Other @ 3.22% Total : 47.74% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.19)0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.67)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.72)0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.38)1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.25% Total : 28.03% |
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