SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 58.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 18.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Inter Miami |
58.29% ( 0.74) | 23.13% ( -0.6) | 18.58% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 48.96% ( 1.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.8% ( 2.13) | 50.2% ( -2.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.84% ( 1.86) | 72.16% ( -1.87) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% ( 1.03) | 16.94% ( -1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.98% ( 1.81) | 47.01% ( -1.81) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.94% ( 1.08) | 41.06% ( -1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.39% ( 0.95) | 77.6% ( -0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 1-0 @ 12.34% ( -0.65) 2-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.26)4-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.2)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.12)5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.86% Total : 58.28% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.62)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.13% | 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.09)Other @ 2% Total : 18.58% |
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