SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 48.33%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
48.33% ( 0.13) | 25.22% ( 0.01) | 26.45% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 52.45% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.48% ( -0.14) | 50.52% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.56% ( -0.12) | 72.44% ( 0.12) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.07% ( 0) | 20.92% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.34% ( 0) | 53.65% ( -0) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.33% ( -0.19) | 33.66% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.68% ( -0.21) | 70.31% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 48.32% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 26.45% |
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