SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Minnesota United |
55.52% ( -0.02) | 22.79% ( 0) | 21.68% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.9% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.27% ( 0) | 44.72% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.91% ( 0) | 67.08% ( -0.01) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.04% ( -0.01) | 15.96% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.75% ( -0.01) | 45.25% ( 0.01) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.33% ( 0.02) | 34.66% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.61% ( 0.02) | 71.39% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.7% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.47% 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 55.52% | 1-1 @ 10.75% 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.79% | 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 21.68% |
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