SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
44.82% ( 0.01) | 25.03% ( -0) | 30.15% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 55.65% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.47% ( 0.02) | 47.54% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.26% ( 0.02) | 69.74% ( -0.01) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.77% ( 0.01) | 21.24% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.86% ( 0.02) | 54.14% ( -0.01) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.65% ( 0.02) | 29.35% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.67% ( 0.02) | 65.33% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 7.48% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 44.82% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.15% |
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