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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 40
Oct 21, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Nissan Stadium
CC

Nashville
1 - 1
Columbus Crew

Williams (77')
Williams (90'), Haakenson (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zelarayan (75')
Nagbe (71')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Nashville SCDrawColumbus Crew
59.12%22.88%18%
Both teams to score 48.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50%50%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.02%71.98%
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.42%16.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.63%46.37%
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.39%41.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.91%78.09%
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 59.1%
    Columbus Crew 18%
    Draw 22.88%
Nashville SCDrawColumbus Crew
1-0 @ 12.39%
2-0 @ 11.13%
2-1 @ 9.77%
3-0 @ 6.67%
3-1 @ 5.85%
4-0 @ 3%
4-1 @ 2.63%
3-2 @ 2.57%
4-2 @ 1.15%
5-0 @ 1.08%
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 59.1%
1-1 @ 10.87%
0-0 @ 6.9%
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 22.88%
0-1 @ 6.05%
1-2 @ 4.77%
0-2 @ 2.65%
1-3 @ 1.39%
2-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 18%

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