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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 36
Oct 3, 2021 at 9pm UK
PPL Park
CC

Philadelphia
3 - 0
Columbus Crew

Elliott (25'), Bedoya (46'), Flach (89')
Wagner (35'), Powell (74'), Santos (77')
Wagner (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Santos (66')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 17.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawColumbus Crew
58.99%23.81%17.2%
Both teams to score 44.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.29%54.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.96%76.03%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.67%18.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.58%49.42%
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.62%45.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.77%81.23%
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 58.98%
    Columbus Crew 17.2%
    Draw 23.81%
Philadelphia UnionDrawColumbus Crew
1-0 @ 14.1%
2-0 @ 11.97%
2-1 @ 9.46%
3-0 @ 6.77%
3-1 @ 5.35%
4-0 @ 2.87%
4-1 @ 2.27%
3-2 @ 2.11%
5-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 58.98%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 8.31%
2-2 @ 3.74%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.57%
1-2 @ 4.41%
0-2 @ 2.6%
1-3 @ 1.16%
2-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 17.2%

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