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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 33
Sep 19, 2021 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
N

Toronto
2 - 1
Nashville

Shaffelburg (18'), Gonzalez (79')
Bradley (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sapong (74')
Lovitz (32')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 36.44%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawNashville SC
36.44%27.97%35.59%
Both teams to score 47.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.86%58.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.2%78.8%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.47%30.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.24%66.76%
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.94%31.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.62%67.38%
Score Analysis
    Toronto 36.44%
    Nashville SC 35.59%
    Draw 27.96%
TorontoDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 11.25%
2-1 @ 7.8%
2-0 @ 6.68%
3-1 @ 3.09%
3-0 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 1.8%
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 36.44%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 9.48%
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.96%
0-1 @ 11.08%
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-2 @ 6.48%
1-3 @ 3%
0-3 @ 2.53%
2-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 35.59%

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