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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 16
Jul 4, 2021 at 1am UK
Nissan Stadium
PU

Nashville
1 - 0
Philadelphia

Sapong (2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nashville SC in this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawPhiladelphia Union
38.14%26.46%35.41%
Both teams to score 52.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.83%52.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.11%73.88%
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.35%26.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.11%61.88%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.76%28.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.05%63.95%
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 38.14%
    Philadelphia Union 35.41%
    Draw 26.45%
Nashville SCDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.95%
2-1 @ 8.32%
2-0 @ 6.58%
3-1 @ 3.67%
3-0 @ 2.9%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.21%
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 38.14%
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 7.52%
2-2 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 9.51%
1-2 @ 7.96%
0-2 @ 6.02%
1-3 @ 3.35%
0-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 2.22%
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 35.41%

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