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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 7
May 16, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
NY

Philadelphia
1 - 0
NY Red Bulls

Burke (9')
Flach (90+1'), Elliott (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Long (52'), Nealis (61'), Yearwood (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 52.19%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew York Red Bulls
52.19%23.39%24.43%
Both teams to score 56.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.65%44.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.28%66.73%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83%17.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.87%47.13%
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99%32.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.52%68.48%
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 52.19%
    New York Red Bulls 24.43%
    Draw 23.38%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.73%
1-0 @ 9.65%
2-0 @ 8.55%
3-1 @ 5.75%
3-0 @ 5.05%
3-2 @ 3.27%
4-1 @ 2.55%
4-0 @ 2.24%
4-2 @ 1.45%
5-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 52.19%
1-1 @ 10.98%
2-2 @ 5.54%
0-0 @ 5.45%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.38%
1-2 @ 6.26%
0-1 @ 6.2%
0-2 @ 3.53%
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 24.43%

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