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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 13
Jun 27, 2021 at 1am UK
Toyota Park
PU

Chicago Fire
3 - 3
Philadelphia

Glesnes (2' og.), Sekulic (56'), Pineda (67')
Stojanovic (44'), Navarro (62'), Herbers (81')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sullivan (28'), Burke (45+2'), Sekulic (79' og.)
Elliott (10'), Santos (34'), Wagner (52'), Powell (55')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Chicago FireDrawPhiladelphia Union
31.6%24.91%43.49%
Both teams to score 56.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.62%46.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.34%68.66%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2%27.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61%63.39%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64%21.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.67%54.33%
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 31.6%
    Philadelphia Union 43.49%
    Draw 24.91%
Chicago FireDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 7.6%
2-1 @ 7.51%
2-0 @ 4.87%
3-1 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 2.47%
3-0 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 31.6%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 5.94%
2-2 @ 5.8%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 9.17%
1-2 @ 9.06%
0-2 @ 7.08%
1-3 @ 4.66%
0-3 @ 3.64%
2-3 @ 2.98%
1-4 @ 1.8%
0-4 @ 1.41%
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 43.49%

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