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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 11
May 31, 2021 at 12am UK
PPL Park
PT

Philadelphia
3 - 0
Portland

Przybylko (26'), Santos (31'), Elliott (63')
Mbaizo (5')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Zuparic (62'), Bravo (72')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawPortland Timbers
50.93%23.68%25.39%
Both teams to score 56.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.25%44.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.89%67.11%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.38%17.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.79%48.21%
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56%31.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18%67.82%
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 50.94%
    Portland Timbers 25.39%
    Draw 23.67%
Philadelphia UnionDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.66%
1-0 @ 9.62%
2-0 @ 8.35%
3-1 @ 5.59%
3-0 @ 4.83%
3-2 @ 3.24%
4-1 @ 2.43%
4-0 @ 2.1%
4-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 50.94%
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 5.59%
0-0 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 6.44%
0-1 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 3.71%
1-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 25.39%

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