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NY
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 5
May 8, 2021 at 6pm UK
Red Bull Arena
TF

NY Red Bulls
2 - 0
Toronto

Amaya (32'), Clark (69')
Gutman (31'), Amaya (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Laryea (73'), Gonzalez (78')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawToronto
39.71%26.54%33.75%
Both teams to score 52.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.26%52.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.63%74.37%
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.95%26.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.92%61.08%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.45%29.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.42%65.57%
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 39.7%
    Toronto 33.75%
    Draw 26.54%
New York Red BullsDrawToronto
1-0 @ 10.35%
2-1 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 6.97%
3-1 @ 3.81%
3-0 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 39.7%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 7.7%
2-2 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 9.38%
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-2 @ 5.72%
1-3 @ 3.13%
0-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 33.75%

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