Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.