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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 20
Oct 20, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
PU

New England
1 - 2
Philadelphia

Buchanan (81')
Polster (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Farrell (34' og.), Fontana (70')
Santos (58'), Monteiro (88')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Philadelphia Union.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
43.09%25.19%31.71%
Both teams to score 55.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.43%47.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.22%69.77%
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96%22.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62%55.37%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68%28.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.95%64.05%
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 43.09%
    Philadelphia Union 31.71%
    Draw 25.18%
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.44%
2-1 @ 9.01%
2-0 @ 7.14%
3-1 @ 4.54%
3-0 @ 3.6%
3-2 @ 2.86%
4-1 @ 1.72%
4-0 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 43.09%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.24%
2-2 @ 5.68%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 7.88%
1-2 @ 7.51%
0-2 @ 4.97%
1-3 @ 3.16%
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 2.09%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 31.71%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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