SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 52.1%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 24.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Atlanta United |
52.1% ( -0.01) | 23.17% | 24.73% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.5% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.91% ( 0.01) | 43.08% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.51% ( 0.01) | 65.48% ( -0.01) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.43% | 16.57% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.64% ( -0) | 46.36% ( 0) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% ( 0.02) | 31.08% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.6% ( 0.02) | 67.4% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.26% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.32% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.99% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.62% 4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.26% Total : 52.1% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 24.73% |
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