SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 57.44%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.6% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 1-0 (7.81%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for New York City FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for New York City FC.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | New England Revolution |
57.44% ( 0.01) | 20.95% ( -0) | 21.6% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.23% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.67% ( 0.01) | 36.33% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.54% ( 0.01) | 58.46% ( -0.01) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.46% ( 0) | 12.53% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.43% ( 0.01) | 38.56% ( -0.01) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70% ( -0) | 29.99% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.89% ( -0) | 66.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% 2-0 @ 8.11% 1-0 @ 7.81% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.61% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.07% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.51% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.91% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.11% 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 4.13% Total : 57.44% | 1-1 @ 9.4% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 3.76% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.95% | 1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.36% 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 21.6% |
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