SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Charlotte FC |
55.39% ( 0) | 23.21% ( -0) | 21.39% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.14% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.13% ( -0.01) | 46.87% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.88% ( -0) | 69.12% ( 0) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.23% ( -0) | 16.77% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.29% ( -0) | 46.71% ( -0) |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.85% ( -0.01) | 36.15% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.06% ( -0.01) | 72.93% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Charlotte FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 9.83% 2-0 @ 9.66% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.85% 3-0 @ 5.75% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.61% 4-0 @ 2.57% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.93% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.13% Total : 55.39% | 1-1 @ 11.01% 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0)2-2 @ 5% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.21% | 0-1 @ 6.17% 1-2 @ 5.6% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 21.39% |
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