Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
