SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
58.34% ( 0.32) | 22.55% ( -0.08) | 19.11% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 51.68% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.95% ( -0.02) | 47.05% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.71% ( -0.02) | 69.29% ( 0.01) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.19% ( 0.1) | 15.82% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.02% ( 0.19) | 44.98% ( -0.19) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.39% ( -0.28) | 38.62% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.64% ( -0.27) | 75.36% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 58.33% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.54% | 0-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 19.11% |
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