SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | New York City FC |
44.48% ( 0.03) | 25.95% ( -0.04) | 29.58% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.37% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.35% ( 0.18) | 51.66% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.56% ( 0.15) | 73.44% ( -0.15) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% ( 0.09) | 23.14% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.99% ( 0.13) | 57.01% ( -0.13) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.14% ( 0.11) | 31.86% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.7% ( 0.12) | 68.3% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 44.48% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 29.58% |
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