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OC
Major League Soccer
Jun 19, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
HD
Orlando City
2 - 1
Houston
Kara (25', 58')
Jansson (14'), Pereyra (39'), Gallese (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ferreira (59')
Avila (16'), Lundqvist (20'), Vera (21'), Zeca (32'), Hadebe (44'), Ulfarsson (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 1-1 Orlando City
Thursday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 2-0 Houston Dynamo

While they have certainly had their struggles recently and look far from their best, Orlando City have more than enough talent in their ranks to outclass the visitors, and we see them making a return to winning ways at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 18.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawHouston Dynamo
59% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04) 22.35% (0.0030000000000001 0) 18.65% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.52% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.15% (0.031999999999996 0.03)46.85% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.89% (0.030999999999999 0.03)69.1% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)15.53% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.55% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)44.45% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.99% (0.059999999999995 0.06)39% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.27% (0.056999999999999 0.06)75.73% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 58.99%
    Houston Dynamo 18.65%
    Draw 22.35%
Orlando CityDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 11.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.14%
4-0 @ 3.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.86%
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 58.99%
1-1 @ 10.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.35%
0-1 @ 5.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 5% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.68% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 18.65%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: New England 1-1 Orlando City
Thursday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-3 Dallas
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-2 Orlando City
Monday, May 23 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 0-1 Orlando City
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 4-1 Orlando City
Saturday, May 7 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 2-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, May 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 3-0 Houston
Sunday, May 29 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 0-3 Houston
Monday, May 23 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 0-1 Seattle
Thursday, May 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 2-0 Nashville
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-0 Houston
Sunday, May 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-2 Austin
Saturday, April 30 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer

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