Major League Soccer

Jun 19, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Florida Citrus Bowl

Orlando City
2 - 1
Houston

Kara (25', 58')
Jansson (14'), Pereyra (39'), Gallese (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ferreira (59')
Avila (16'), Lundqvist (20'), Vera (21'), Zeca (32'), Hadebe (44'), Ulfarsson (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Orlando City 2-0 Houston Dynamo

While they have certainly had their struggles recently and look far from their best, Orlando City have more than enough talent in their ranks to outclass the visitors, and we see them making a return to winning ways at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 18.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Houston Dynamo
59% ( -0.04)	22.35% ( 0)	18.65% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 51.52% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.15% (

0.03)

46.85% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.89% (

0.03)

69.1% (

-0.03)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.47% (

-0)

15.53% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.55% (

-0)

44.45% (

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.99% (

0.06)

39% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.27% (

0.06)

75.73% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 58.99%

Houston Dynamo 18.65%

Draw 22.35%

Orlando City	Draw	Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.14% 4-0 @ 3.04% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.86% 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.33% Total : 58.99%	1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.35%	0-1 @ 5.7% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 18.65%