SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
| 4 | Colorado Rapids | 14 | 2 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 58.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 19.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
58.88% ( 0.38) | 21.8% ( -0.13) | 19.32% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 54.5% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.53% ( 0.19) | 43.47% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.13% ( 0.18) | 65.87% ( -0.19) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.57% ( 0.18) | 14.43% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.63% ( 0.36) | 42.37% ( -0.36) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.69% ( -0.16) | 36.31% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.9% ( -0.17) | 73.1% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.83% Total : 58.87% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.79% | 0-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.75% Total : 19.32% |
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