Houston have looked a lot more organised in the early stages of the season, but they are missing numerous opportunities to put their matches out of reach.
At the same time, Austin are the most potent side in the league and only need a couple of half-chances to make them count, which we believe will make the difference in this encounter.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
