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Major League Soccer
Apr 30, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Robertson Stadium
AF
Houston
1 - 2
Austin
Ferreira (5')
Carrasquilla (47'), Hadebe (50'), Parker (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pereira (39'), Driussi (66')
Driussi (36'), Ring (62'), Felipe (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salt Lake 3-0 Houston
Sunday, May 29 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Orlando City vs. Houston
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-1 Austin
Sunday, May 29 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Montreal vs. Austin
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-3 Austin FC

Houston have looked a lot more organised in the early stages of the season, but they are missing numerous opportunities to put their matches out of reach. At the same time, Austin are the most potent side in the league and only need a couple of half-chances to make them count, which we believe will make the difference in this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawAustin FC
40.65%26%33.36%
Both teams to score 53.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.45%50.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.53%72.47%
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.45%24.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.97%59.03%
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27%28.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.44%64.56%
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 40.65%
    Austin FC 33.36%
    Draw 25.99%
Houston DynamoDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 9.91%
2-1 @ 8.68%
2-0 @ 6.96%
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-0 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 40.65%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 7.05%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 8.8%
1-2 @ 7.71%
0-2 @ 5.49%
1-3 @ 3.2%
0-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Houston
Saturday, April 23 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 0-0 Portland
Saturday, April 16 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 4-3 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 10 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-3 Houston
Sunday, April 3 at 2.55am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-1 Colorado
Sunday, March 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 2-1 Vancouver
Saturday, March 12 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 3-0 Vancouver
Sunday, April 24 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-3 Austin
Sunday, April 17 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 1-0 Minnesota Utd
Monday, April 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-2 Austin
Sunday, April 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 1-1 Seattle
Sunday, March 20 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-0 Austin
Sunday, March 13 at 3am in Major League Soccer

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