Montreal have plenty of momentum heading into this encounter, though they have struggled in previous fixtures against the Lions, winning only once in their last six meetings.
Given how well each team defend without the ball, we expect there will be little time or space for the creative players on each side to make some magic happen, and there is unlikely to be a lot of chances at either end of the field.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
